Georgi Tancev, PhD

Clinical Data Science

Searching for risk factors of mortality.

Summary

Various parameters must be considered for dialysis intensity dosing in pediatric patients suffering from chronic kidney disease. It has been observed that certain children die relatively quickly after starting treatment, and one open question is whether there is a subgroup for whom therapy is not yet optimal. I worked on this project as part of Julia Vogt’s research group together with clinical scientists at the University Children’s Hospital in Basel. Armed with a huge data set of demographic, treatment, and laboratory data, my task was to look for all possible risk factors and biomarkers using machine learning so that classes of failure modes could be identified. I performed this task with Python using pandas for data wrangling, scikit-learn for modeling, and matplotlib for visualization.

The analysis showed that certain variables are good predictors of mortality. Some biomarkers were already known from the literature, others were new and required contextualization and careful discussion. Interestingly, one of the most important findings was that the therapy was quite optimal in terms of dosage, as mortality changed most around the recommended levels.1

  1. These results were also presented at a conference